Market Context by Polymarket

The ABC Whistleblower report released by Sunday? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. No currently leads at 100%, ahead of Yes at 0%. The market resolves on 15 September 2024.

Cumulative volume on this market is $1.2M. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.

How this market resolves?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a whistleblower releases a signed affidavit alleging that ABC improperly gave the advantage to Harris in the September 10 debate, e.g. through fact-checking assurances or giving sample questions mimicking the real questions, by September 15, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. For this market to resolve to "Yes", the affidavit needs to be released by the resolution date - the truth of its contents is not relevant for this market. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds for ABC Whistleblower report released by Sunday??

No leads at 100%, followed by Yes at 0%. Odds reflect live trading on Polymarket.

Who is the favourite on ABC Whistleblower report released by Sunda?

No, at 100% implied probability.

How does the ABC Whistleblower report released by Sunday? market resolve?

The market resolves on 15 September 2024. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.

How much money is on ABC Whistleblower report released by Sunda?

$1.2M has traded cumulatively on this market across 2 outcomes.

Can I see who is betting on ABC Whistleblower report released by Sunda?

Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.

How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?

Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.