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Analysis, news, and insights from traders, researchers, and builders in the prediction markets community.

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Analysis
January 3, 2026
Why Prediction Markets Are Stuck at a Local Maxima

Polymarket, Kalshi, and the illusion of critical mass in on-chain prediction markets

TTim.0xAnalysis
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Case Study
June 3, 2025
The AUC Elections

A Missed Opportunity for Prediction Markets in Africa

KarlebTrader
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Analysis
May 27, 2025
How Different Sectors Move Capital on Polymarket

A Deep Dive into Platform Velocity

PeterAnalyst
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Analysis
May 20, 2025
Forecasting Accuracy in NBA Game Outcomes

A Comparative Analysis of Bookmakers and Public Prediction Markets

Koleman StrumpfProfessor
Daily open interest for the Russia–Ukraine cease-fire market: flat near zero through January, jumping to $1.5 million on 11 February, then settling near $1.9 million by late April.
Analysis
May 13, 2025
Open Interest

Where Conviction Lives

AaronData Storyteller
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Profile
May 7, 2025
My Polymarket Journey

23x in 9 months

Mango LassiTrader
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Analysis
April 29, 2025
Information Markets

The Institutional Capital Waiting Game

PJBuilder
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Analysis
April 22, 2025
From Popes to Polymarket

A Brief History of Prediction Markets

DomerTrader
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News
April 17, 2025
The "All-in" Podcast Markets

The Besties bring prediction markets to their fanatic listeners

Primo DataPolymarket Analytics
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Analysis
December 31, 2024
2024 U.S. Election: Breakthrough Moments & Million-Dollar Fortunes

From Biden's exit to Trump's victory, how Polymarket became the go-to source for election insights and minted fortunes for sharp predictors

Primo DataPolymarket Analytics

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