Analysis, news, and insights from traders, researchers, and builders in the prediction markets community.
Polymarket, Kalshi, and the illusion of critical mass in on-chain prediction markets
A Deep Dive into Platform Velocity
A Comparative Analysis of Bookmakers and Public Prediction Markets
Where Conviction Lives
The Institutional Capital Waiting Game
A Brief History of Prediction Markets
From Biden's exit to Trump's victory, how Polymarket became the go-to source for election insights and minted fortunes for sharp predictors