Market Context by Polymarket
The Albania Parliamentary Election Winner market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. PS currently leads at 100%, ahead of ASHM at 0% and PSD at 0%, across 9 tradeable outcomes. The market resolves on 11 May 2025.
Cumulative volume on this market is $710K. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
The 2025 Albanian parliamentary election is scheduled to be held on May 11, 2025, to elect members of the Kuvendi (Albania's unicameral parliament). This market will resolve according to the party that controls the most seats in the Albanian Parliament as a result of the next Albanian parliamentary election. If voting in the next Albanian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Albanian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Albania (Komisioni Qendror i Zgjedhjeve – KQZ) (https://kqz.gov.al/). Note: Constituent parties of the Alliance for a Great Albania coalition will be considered a single party, NOT a coalition for the purpose of this market. If this alliance breaks up prior to the election, the market for Alliance for a Great Albania will be assigned to the Democratic Party of Albania. Note: Constituent parties of the Alliance for a Great Albania coalition will be considered a single party, NOT a coalition for the purpose of this market. If this alliance breaks up prior to the election, the market for Alliance for a Great Albania will be assigned to the Democratic Party of Albania.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Albania Parliamentary Election Winner?
PS leads at 100%, followed by ASHM at 0% and PSD at 0%. Odds reflect live trading across 9 outcomes.
Who is the favourite on Albania Parliamentary Election?
PS, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Albania Parliamentary Election Winner market resolve?
The market resolves on 11 May 2025. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on Albania Parliamentary Election?
$710K has traded cumulatively on this market across 9 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on Albania Parliamentary Election?
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.