Market Context by Polymarket
The $ARB above $1 one week after launch? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. Yes currently leads at 100%, ahead of No at 0%. The market resolves on 31 December 2023.
Cumulative volume on this market is $893K. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Arbitrum token's price is above $1.0000 (i.e. $1.0001 or greater) one week after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." "1 week after launch" is defined as exactly 7 days (168 hours) after the token is claimable. The Arbitrum Foundation has currently announced the token will be claimable on block https://etherscan.io/block/countdown/16890400. The resolution source for this market will be consensus of highly liquid price sources as to whether Arbitrum's token is above $1 one week after launch. If Arbitrum doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for $ARB above $1 one week after launch??
Yes leads at 100%, followed by No at 0%. Odds reflect live trading on Polymarket.
Who is the favourite on $ARB above $1 one week after launch??
Yes, at 100% implied probability.
How does the $ARB above $1 one week after launch? market resolve?
The market resolves on 31 December 2023. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on $ARB above $1 one week after launch??
$893K has traded cumulatively on this market across 2 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on $ARB above $1 one week after launch??
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Prediction markets tend to be sharper than polls when volume is healthy, because traders lose money for being wrong. Thin markets with little trading are less reliable — treat those prices as a signal, not a certainty.