Market Context by Polymarket

The Balance of Power: 2022 US Midterms market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. Republican House and Democratic Senate currently leads at 100%, ahead of Republican House and Republican Senate at 100% and Democratic House and Democratic Senate at 100%, across 4 tradeable outcomes. The market resolves on 17 November 2022.

Cumulative volume on this market is $524K. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.

How this market resolves?

The 2022 United States midterm elections will be held on Tuesday, November 8, 2022. During this midterm election year, all 435 seats in the House of Representatives and 35 of the 100 seats in the Senate will be contested. This is a market group on the shifting balance of power in the two chambers of the U.S. Congress as a result of the 2022 midterms.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds for Balance of Power: 2022 US Midterms?

Republican House and Democratic Senate leads at 100%, followed by Republican House and Republican Senate at 100% and Democratic House and Democratic Senate at 100%. Odds reflect live trading across 4 outcomes.

Who is the favourite on Balance of Power: 2022 US Midterms?

Republican House and Democratic Senate, at 100% implied probability.

How does the Balance of Power: 2022 US Midterms market resolve?

The market resolves on 17 November 2022. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.

How much money is on Balance of Power: 2022 US Midterms?

$524K has traded cumulatively on this market across 4 outcomes.

Can I see who is betting on Balance of Power: 2022 US Midterms?

Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.

How accurate are Polymarket odds?

Prediction markets tend to be sharper than polls when volume is healthy, because traders lose money for being wrong. Thin markets with little trading are less reliable — treat those prices as a signal, not a certainty.