Market Context by Polymarket
The Biden removed via 25th Amendment? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. No currently leads at 100%, ahead of Yes at 0%. The market resolves on 4 November 2024.
Cumulative volume on this market is $1.6M. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Biden is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Biden's removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. If Biden ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Biden removed via 25th Amendment??
No leads at 100%, followed by Yes at 0%. Odds reflect live trading on Polymarket.
Who is the favourite on Biden removed via 25th Amendment??
No, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Biden removed via 25th Amendment? market resolve?
The market resolves on 4 November 2024. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on Biden removed via 25th Amendment??
$1.6M has traded cumulatively on this market across 2 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on Biden removed via 25th Amendment??
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.