Market Context by Polymarket

The Bitcoin above ___ on October 31? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. 100,000 currently leads at 100%, ahead of 102,000 at 100% and 104,000 at 100%, across 11 tradeable outcomes. The market resolves on 31 October 2025.

Cumulative volume on this market is $3.2M. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.

How this market resolves?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds for Bitcoin above ___ on October 31??

100,000 leads at 100%, followed by 102,000 at 100% and 104,000 at 100%. Odds reflect live trading across 11 outcomes.

Who is the favourite on Bitcoin above ___ on October 31??

100,000, at 100% implied probability.

How does the Bitcoin above ___ on October 31? market resolve?

The market resolves on 31 October 2025. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.

How much money is on Bitcoin above ___ on October 31??

$3.2M has traded cumulatively on this market across 11 outcomes.

Can I see who is betting on Bitcoin above ___ on October 31??

Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.

How accurate are Polymarket odds on crypto?

Crypto markets price rapidly and reflect sentiment shifts within minutes, but they are volatile and prone to sharp reversals on thin liquidity. Volume matters more than price level when judging conviction.