Market Context by Polymarket
The Bitcoin price on July 28? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. 117–119k currently leads at 100%, ahead of <115k at 0% and 115–117k at 0%, across 5 tradeable outcomes. The market resolves on 28 July 2025.
Cumulative volume on this market is $1.4M. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Bitcoin price on July 28??
117–119k leads at 100%, followed by <115k at 0% and 115–117k at 0%. Odds reflect live trading across 5 outcomes.
Who is the favourite on Bitcoin price on July 28??
117–119k, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Bitcoin price on July 28? market resolve?
The market resolves on 28 July 2025. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on Bitcoin price on July 28??
$1.4M has traded cumulatively on this market across 5 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on Bitcoin price on July 28??
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on crypto?
Crypto markets price rapidly and reflect sentiment shifts within minutes, but they are volatile and prone to sharp reversals on thin liquidity. Volume matters more than price level when judging conviction.