Market Context by Polymarket
The Bitcoin Up or Down on April 20? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. Down currently leads at 100%, ahead of Up at 0%. The market resolves on 20 April 2025.
Cumulative volume on this market is $349K. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTCUSDT 19 Apr '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the 20 Apr '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTCUSDT 19 Apr '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the 20 Apr '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTCUSDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Bitcoin Up or Down on April 20??
Down leads at 100%, followed by Up at 0%. Odds reflect live trading on Polymarket.
Who is the favourite on Bitcoin Up or Down on April 20??
Down, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Bitcoin Up or Down on April 20? market resolve?
The market resolves on 20 April 2025. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on Bitcoin Up or Down on April 20??
$349K has traded cumulatively on this market across 2 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on Bitcoin Up or Down on April 20??
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on crypto?
Crypto markets price rapidly and reflect sentiment shifts within minutes, but they are volatile and prone to sharp reversals on thin liquidity. Volume matters more than price level when judging conviction.