Market Context by Polymarket

The Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. Person V currently leads at 100%, ahead of Person W at 100% and Person X at 100%, across 128 tradeable outcomes. The market resolves on 7 November 2028.

Cumulative volume on this market is $1.3B. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.

How this market resolves?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds for Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028?

Person V leads at 100%, followed by Person W at 100% and Person X at 100%. Odds reflect live trading across 128 outcomes.

Who is the favourite on Democratic Nominee 2028?

Person V, at 100% implied probability.

How does the Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 market resolve?

The market resolves on 7 November 2028. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.

How much money is on Democratic Nominee 2028?

$1.3B has traded cumulatively on this market across 128 outcomes.

Can I see who is betting on Democratic Nominee 2028?

Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.

How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?

Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.