Market Context by Polymarket
The Democratic VP nominee on election day? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. Tim Walz currently leads at 100%, ahead of Michelle Obama at 0% and Kamala Harris at 0%, across 14 tradeable outcomes. The market resolves on 4 November 2024.
Cumulative volume on this market is $245M. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This is a market on who the Democratic nominee for Vice President of the United States of America in the 2024 election will be on Election Day.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Democratic VP nominee on election day??
Tim Walz leads at 100%, followed by Michelle Obama at 0% and Kamala Harris at 0%. Odds reflect live trading across 14 outcomes.
Who is the favourite on Democratic VP nominee on election day??
Tim Walz, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Democratic VP nominee on election day? market resolve?
The market resolves on 4 November 2024. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on Democratic VP nominee on election day??
$245M has traded cumulatively on this market across 14 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on Democratic VP nominee on election day??
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.