Market Context by Polymarket
The ECB Interest Rates: January 2025 market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. 25 bps decrease currently leads at 100%, ahead of Increase at 0% and No Change at 0%, across 5 tradeable outcomes. The market resolves on 30 January 2025.
Cumulative volume on this market is $1.3M. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This is a negrisk market group about European Central Bank interest rates set after the January 2025 meeting.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for ECB Interest Rates: January 2025?
25 bps decrease leads at 100%, followed by Increase at 0% and No Change at 0%. Odds reflect live trading across 5 outcomes.
Who is the favourite on ECB Interest Rates: January 2025?
25 bps decrease, at 100% implied probability.
How does the ECB Interest Rates: January 2025 market resolve?
The market resolves on 30 January 2025. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on ECB Interest Rates: January 2025?
$1.3M has traded cumulatively on this market across 5 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on ECB Interest Rates: January 2025?
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on economics?
Fed and macro markets tend to move in step with rate futures and repricing after data releases. They are usually well-calibrated close to a decision date and noisier further out.