Market Context by Polymarket
The Egypt/Jordan agree to take 100k+ Gazan refugees before April? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. No currently leads at 100%, ahead of Yes at 0%. The market resolves on 31 March 2025.
Cumulative volume on this market is $356K. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
On January 25, Donald Trump said he had been speaking to Egypt and Jordan about taking Palestinian refugees. You can read more about that here: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/01/26/world/middleeast/trump-gaza-jordan-egypt.html This market will resolve to “Yes” if Egypt or Jordan announces their intention to accept or otherwise accept at least 100,000 Gazan refugees between them, either temporarily or long-term, between January 29 and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Note: This market's resolution is based on the sum total of Gazan refugees accepted by both Egypt and Jordan. If Egypt or Jordan announce they will accept or otherwise accept an undisclosed number of Gazan refugees, this market will remain open until the resolution date or further announcements are made clarifying the number of refugees to be accepted, or the number is otherwise confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting. the primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the governments of Egypt and Jordan, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Egypt/Jordan agree to take 100k+ Gazan refugees before April??
No leads at 100%, followed by Yes at 0%. Odds reflect live trading on Polymarket.
Who is the favourite on Egypt/Jordan agree to take 100k+ Gazan ref?
No, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Egypt/Jordan agree to take 100k+ Gazan refugees before April? market resolve?
The market resolves on 31 March 2025. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on Egypt/Jordan agree to take 100k+ Gazan ref?
$356K has traded cumulatively on this market across 2 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on Egypt/Jordan agree to take 100k+ Gazan ref?
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.