Market Context by Polymarket
The Elon Musk # tweets March 21 - March 23, 2026? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. 90-114 currently leads at 100%, ahead of <40 at 0% and 40-64 at 0%, across 10 tradeable outcomes. The market resolves on 23 March 2026.
Use the analytics above to explore live prices, outcome history and trader positioning on this Polymarket market.
How this market resolves?
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 21 12:00 PM ET to March 23, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Elon Musk # tweets March 21 - March 23, 2026??
90-114 leads at 100%, followed by <40 at 0% and 40-64 at 0%. Odds reflect live trading across 10 outcomes.
Who is the favourite on Elon Musk # tweets March 21 2026?
90-114, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Elon Musk # tweets March 21 - March 23, 2026? market resolve?
The market resolves on 23 March 2026. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on Elon Musk # tweets March 21 2026?
Trading volume for Elon Musk # tweets March 21 2026 is shown in the stats above and updates as new trades clear.
Can I see who is betting on Elon Musk # tweets March 21 2026?
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.