Market Context by Polymarket
The Ethena crash in 2024? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. No currently leads at 100%, ahead of Yes at 0%. The market resolves on 31 December 2024.
Cumulative volume on this market is $315K. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This market will resolve to “Yes” Ethena USDe is below 90 cents for a period of 12 hours or more in 2024. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No." CoinGecko 30 minute candles for Ethena USDe will be used, for candles between April 1 and December 31, 2024 in the ET timezone. For this market to resolve to "Yes" all candles in the 12 hour period must have a final “High” price below 0.90000 (i.e. 0.89999 or lower). A 12h period of USDe below 90 cents that starts on the last day will count (e.g. December 31, 2024, 22:00 ET to January 1, 2024, 10:00 ET). The resolution source for this market is https://www.coingecko.com/, specifically the “High” prices currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/ethena-usde with “30m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. To see the “High” prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value after “H” on the displayed chart. Please note that this market is about the price according to CoinGecko USDe. If CoinGecko stops having the necessary USDe information to resolve this market, a consensus of credible sources for whether USDe was below 90 cents for 12h+ may be used to resolve this market.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Ethena crash in 2024??
No leads at 100%, followed by Yes at 0%. Odds reflect live trading on Polymarket.
Who is the favourite on Ethena crash in 2024??
No, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Ethena crash in 2024? market resolve?
The market resolves on 31 December 2024. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on Ethena crash in 2024??
$315K has traded cumulatively on this market across 2 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on Ethena crash in 2024??
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on crypto?
Crypto markets price rapidly and reflect sentiment shifts within minutes, but they are volatile and prone to sharp reversals on thin liquidity. Volume matters more than price level when judging conviction.