Market Context by Polymarket
The Fed decision in March? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. No Change currently leads at 100%, ahead of 50+ bps decrease at 0% and 25 bps decrease at 0%, across 4 tradeable outcomes. The market resolves on 19 March 2025.
Cumulative volume on this market is $78M. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This is a market on predictions for the Federal Reserve's interest rates in March 2025.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Fed decision in March??
No Change leads at 100%, followed by 50+ bps decrease at 0% and 25 bps decrease at 0%. Odds reflect live trading across 4 outcomes.
Who is the favourite on Fed decision in March??
No Change, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Fed decision in March? market resolve?
The market resolves on 19 March 2025. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on Fed decision in March??
$78M has traded cumulatively on this market across 4 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on Fed decision in March??
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.