Market Context by Polymarket
The FL-1 special election: Valimont (D) vs. Patronis (R) market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. Patronis currently leads at 100%, ahead of Valimont at 0%. The market resolves on 1 April 2025.
Cumulative volume on this market is $352K. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
A special election for Florida's 1st Congressional District is scheduled to take place on April 1, 2025. This market will resolve to "Valimont" if Democrat Gay Valimont wins the congressional election in Florida's 1st Congressional District. This market will resolve to "Patronis" if Republican Jimmy Patronis wins the congressional election in Florida's 1st Congressional District. If any other candidate wins the election, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for FL-1 special election: Valimont (D) vs. Patronis (R)?
Patronis leads at 100%, followed by Valimont at 0%. Odds reflect live trading on Polymarket.
Who is the favourite on FL-1 special election: Valimont (D) vs. Pa?
Patronis, at 100% implied probability.
How does the FL-1 special election: Valimont (D) vs. Patronis (R) market resolve?
The market resolves on 1 April 2025. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on FL-1 special election: Valimont (D) vs. Pa?
$352K has traded cumulatively on this market across 2 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on FL-1 special election: Valimont (D) vs. Pa?
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.