Market Context by Polymarket
The Germany confidence vote in 2024? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. Yes currently leads at 100%, ahead of No at 0%. The market resolves on 31 December 2024.
Cumulative volume on this market is $387K. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a confidence vote is held in the German Bundestag between November 6 and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "Yes" as soon as a confidence vote occurs, the process of which is outlined in Article 68 of the German Basic Law (Grundgesetz). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Germany confidence vote in 2024??
Yes leads at 100%, followed by No at 0%. Odds reflect live trading on Polymarket.
Who is the favourite on Germany confidence vote in 2024??
Yes, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Germany confidence vote in 2024? market resolve?
The market resolves on 31 December 2024. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on Germany confidence vote in 2024??
$387K has traded cumulatively on this market across 2 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on Germany confidence vote in 2024??
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.