Market Context by Polymarket
The Highest temperature in NYC on Feb 22? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. 40-41°F currently leads at 100%, ahead of 33°F or below at 0% and 34-35°F at 0%, across 7 tradeable outcomes. The market resolves on 22 February 2025.
Cumulative volume on this market is $1.2M. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on February 22, 2025. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Highest temperature in NYC on Feb 22??
40-41°F leads at 100%, followed by 33°F or below at 0% and 34-35°F at 0%. Odds reflect live trading across 7 outcomes.
Who is the favourite on Highest temperature in NYC on Feb 22??
40-41°F, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Highest temperature in NYC on Feb 22? market resolve?
The market resolves on 22 February 2025. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on Highest temperature in NYC on Feb 22??
$1.2M has traded cumulatively on this market across 7 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on Highest temperature in NYC on Feb 22??
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Prediction markets tend to be sharper than polls when volume is healthy, because traders lose money for being wrong. Thin markets with little trading are less reliable — treat those prices as a signal, not a certainty.