Market Context by Polymarket

The How many acres will Palisades wildfire burn by Friday? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. 20-25k currently leads at 100%, ahead of <15k at 0% and 15-20k at 0%, across 7 tradeable outcomes. The market resolves on 10 January 2025.

Cumulative volume on this market is $347K. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.

How this market resolves?

This is a market on the expected acreage burned by the Palisades fire by Friday.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds for How many acres will Palisades wildfire burn by Friday??

20-25k leads at 100%, followed by <15k at 0% and 15-20k at 0%. Odds reflect live trading across 7 outcomes.

Who is the favourite on How many acres will Palisades wildfire bur?

20-25k, at 100% implied probability.

How does the How many acres will Palisades wildfire burn by Friday? market resolve?

The market resolves on 10 January 2025. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.

How much money is on How many acres will Palisades wildfire bur?

$347K has traded cumulatively on this market across 7 outcomes.

Can I see who is betting on How many acres will Palisades wildfire bur?

Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.

How accurate are Polymarket odds?

Prediction markets tend to be sharper than polls when volume is healthy, because traders lose money for being wrong. Thin markets with little trading are less reliable — treat those prices as a signal, not a certainty.