Market Context by Polymarket
The How many Jan 6th protestors will Trump pardon in his first 100 days? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. 1,250-1,499 currently leads at 100%, ahead of <250 at 0% and 250-499 at 0%, across 7 tradeable outcomes. The market resolves on 29 April 2025.
Cumulative volume on this market is $8.2M. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This is a market on the number of January 6th protestors that Trump will pardon during his first 100 days in office.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for How many Jan 6th protestors will Trump pardon in his first 100 days??
1,250-1,499 leads at 100%, followed by <250 at 0% and 250-499 at 0%. Odds reflect live trading across 7 outcomes.
Who is the favourite on How many Jan 6th protestors will Trump par?
1,250-1,499, at 100% implied probability.
How does the How many Jan 6th protestors will Trump pardon in his first 100 days? market resolve?
The market resolves on 29 April 2025. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on How many Jan 6th protestors will Trump par?
$8.2M has traded cumulatively on this market across 7 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on How many Jan 6th protestors will Trump par?
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.