Market Context by Polymarket
The How many viewers will the debate get? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. 65-70m currently leads at 100%, ahead of <50m at 0% and 50-55m at 0%, across 7 tradeable outcomes. The market resolves on 10 September 2024.
Cumulative volume on this market is $459K. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This is a market on predicting the number of viewers for the ABC Debate.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for How many viewers will the debate get??
65-70m leads at 100%, followed by <50m at 0% and 50-55m at 0%. Odds reflect live trading across 7 outcomes.
Who is the favourite on How many viewers will the debate get??
65-70m, at 100% implied probability.
How does the How many viewers will the debate get? market resolve?
The market resolves on 10 September 2024. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on How many viewers will the debate get??
$459K has traded cumulatively on this market across 7 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on How many viewers will the debate get??
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.