Market Context by Polymarket
The Iowa Caucus 2nd place? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. Donald Trump currently leads at 100%, ahead of Nikki Haley at 100% and Ron DeSantis at 100%, across 5 tradeable outcomes. The market resolves on 15 January 2024.
Cumulative volume on this market is $3.3M. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This is a market group on who will get 2nd place in the iowa caucus.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Iowa Caucus 2nd place??
Donald Trump leads at 100%, followed by Nikki Haley at 100% and Ron DeSantis at 100%. Odds reflect live trading across 5 outcomes.
Who is the favourite on Iowa Caucus 2nd place??
Donald Trump, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Iowa Caucus 2nd place? market resolve?
The market resolves on 15 January 2024. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on Iowa Caucus 2nd place??
$3.3M has traded cumulatively on this market across 5 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on Iowa Caucus 2nd place??
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.