Market Context by Polymarket
The Ireland Presidential Election market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. Person J currently leads at 100%, ahead of Person K at 100% and Person L at 100%, across 29 tradeable outcomes. The market resolves on 24 October 2025.
Cumulative volume on this market is $152M. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
The 2025 Irish presidential election must take place by Tuesday, 11 November 2025. This market will resolve to the individual who wins the next Irish presidential election. If the result of this election isn't known by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market group will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the he Irish Government, specifically the Electoral Commission (An Coimisiún Toghcháin (see: https://www.electoralcommission.ie/).
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Ireland Presidential Election?
Person J leads at 100%, followed by Person K at 100% and Person L at 100%. Odds reflect live trading across 29 outcomes.
Who is the favourite on Ireland Election?
Person J, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Ireland Presidential Election market resolve?
The market resolves on 24 October 2025. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on Ireland Election?
$152M has traded cumulatively on this market across 29 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on Ireland Election?
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.