Market Context by Polymarket
The Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 15? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. No currently leads at 100%, ahead of Yes at 0%. The market resolves on 15 March 2025.
Cumulative volume on this market is $342K. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement for the second phase of the Israel-Hamas ceasefire, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between Israel and Hamas between February 4, and March 15, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by Israel and/or Hamas, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 15??
No leads at 100%, followed by Yes at 0%. Odds reflect live trading on Polymarket.
Who is the favourite on Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March?
No, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 15? market resolve?
The market resolves on 15 March 2025. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March?
$342K has traded cumulatively on this market across 2 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March?
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.