Market Context by Polymarket
The January 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC) market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. >1.34 currently leads at 100%, ahead of <1.20 at 0% and 1.20-1.24 at 0%, across 5 tradeable outcomes. The market resolves on 31 January 2025.
Cumulative volume on this market is $4.9M. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This is a market group over the temperature increase recorded for January 2025.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for January 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC)?
>1.34 leads at 100%, followed by <1.20 at 0% and 1.20-1.24 at 0%. Odds reflect live trading across 5 outcomes.
Who is the favourite on January 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC)?
>1.34, at 100% implied probability.
How does the January 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC) market resolve?
The market resolves on 31 January 2025. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on January 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC)?
$4.9M has traded cumulatively on this market across 5 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on January 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC)?
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Prediction markets tend to be sharper than polls when volume is healthy, because traders lose money for being wrong. Thin markets with little trading are less reliable — treat those prices as a signal, not a certainty.