Market Context by Polymarket

The Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by...? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. September 30 currently leads at 0%, ahead of December 31 at 0% and October 31 at 0%, across 5 tradeable outcomes. The market resolves on 31 December 2025.

Cumulative volume on this market is $10M. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.

How this market resolves?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lisa Cook announces her resignation or otherwise ceases to be a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between August 25, and September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official announcements of Cook's resignation or removal made before her term is scheduled to end, made by either Cook or the Board of Governors, will qualify. Announcements from Trump or his administration will not alone qualify. Temporary absences or attempts at termination which do not actually remove Cook from the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds for Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by...??

September 30 leads at 0%, followed by December 31 at 0% and October 31 at 0%. Odds reflect live trading across 5 outcomes.

Who is the favourite on Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by...??

September 30, at 0% implied probability.

How does the Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by...? market resolve?

The market resolves on 31 December 2025. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.

How much money is on Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by...??

$10M has traded cumulatively on this market across 5 outcomes.

Can I see who is betting on Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by...??

Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.

How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?

Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.