Market Context by Polymarket
The Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. No currently leads at 96%, ahead of Yes at 4%. The market resolves on 1 January 2027.
Cumulative volume on this market is $167K. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Javier Milei ceases to be the President of Argentina for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Javier Milei's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Argentina, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027??
No leads at 96%, followed by Yes at 4%. Odds reflect live trading on Polymarket.
Who is the favourite on Milei out as President of Ar 2027?
No, at 96% implied probability.
How does the Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? market resolve?
The market resolves on 1 January 2027. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on Milei out as President of Ar 2027?
$167K has traded cumulatively on this market across 2 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on Milei out as President of Ar 2027?
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.