Market Context by Polymarket
The Netherlands Parliamentary Election market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. D66 currently leads at 100%, ahead of Party A at 100% and Party B at 100%, across 26 tradeable outcomes. The market resolves on 31 July 2026.
Cumulative volume on this market is $33M. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
The ruling coalition of the Netherlands collapsed on June 3, 2025. New parliamentary elections are expected to be scheduled soon. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Netherlands House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer der Staten-Generaal) as a result of this election. If voting in the Netherlands election for the House does not occur by July 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Electoral Council (Kiesraad) (https://www.kiesraad.nl/).
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Netherlands Parliamentary Election?
D66 leads at 100%, followed by Party A at 100% and Party B at 100%. Odds reflect live trading across 26 outcomes.
Who is the favourite on Netherlands Parliamentary Election?
D66, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Netherlands Parliamentary Election market resolve?
The market resolves on 31 July 2026. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on Netherlands Parliamentary Election?
$33M has traded cumulatively on this market across 26 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on Netherlands Parliamentary Election?
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.