Market Context by Polymarket
The New Pope announced by...? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. May 9 currently leads at 100%, ahead of May 31 at 100% and April 30 at 0%, across 3 tradeable outcomes. The market resolves on 30 April 2025.
Cumulative volume on this market is $891K. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This is a market on the date when the next Pope will be announced following the current Pope's resignation or death.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for New Pope announced by...??
May 9 leads at 100%, followed by May 31 at 100% and April 30 at 0%. Odds reflect live trading across 3 outcomes.
Who is the favourite on New Pope announced by...??
May 9, at 100% implied probability.
How does the New Pope announced by...? market resolve?
The market resolves on 30 April 2025. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on New Pope announced by...??
$891K has traded cumulatively on this market across 3 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on New Pope announced by...??
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Prediction markets tend to be sharper than polls when volume is healthy, because traders lose money for being wrong. Thin markets with little trading are less reliable — treat those prices as a signal, not a certainty.