Market Context by Polymarket
The New York City Mayoral Election market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. Zohran Mamdani currently leads at 100%, ahead of Person B at 100% and Person C at 100%, across 19 tradeable outcomes. The market resolves on 4 November 2025.
Cumulative volume on this market is $430M. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
The 2025 New York City mayoral election will be held on November 4, 2025. This market will resolve according to the candidate wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, however if there is any ambiguity in the results this market will resolve according to official information from New York City.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for New York City Mayoral Election?
Zohran Mamdani leads at 100%, followed by Person B at 100% and Person C at 100%. Odds reflect live trading across 19 outcomes.
Who is the favourite on New York City Mayoral Election?
Zohran Mamdani, at 100% implied probability.
How does the New York City Mayoral Election market resolve?
The market resolves on 4 November 2025. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on New York City Mayoral Election?
$430M has traded cumulatively on this market across 19 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on New York City Mayoral Election?
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.