Market Context by Polymarket
The Next Prime Minister of Hungary market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. Péter Magyar currently leads at 100%, ahead of Person C at 100% and Person D at 100%, across 26 tradeable outcomes. The market resolves on 12 April 2026.
Cumulative volume on this market is $101M. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Next Prime Minister of Hungary?
Péter Magyar leads at 100%, followed by Person C at 100% and Person D at 100%. Odds reflect live trading across 26 outcomes.
Who is the favourite on Next Prime Minister of Hungary?
Péter Magyar, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Next Prime Minister of Hungary market resolve?
The market resolves on 12 April 2026. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on Next Prime Minister of Hungary?
$101M has traded cumulatively on this market across 26 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on Next Prime Minister of Hungary?
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.