Market Context by Polymarket
The NY-3 Special Election for Santos seat: Suozzi (D) vs. Pilip (R) market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. Suozzi currently leads at 100%, ahead of Pilip at 0%. The market resolves on 13 February 2024.
Cumulative volume on this market is $643K. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
Following the expulsion of representative elect George Santos (R), a special election was scheduled for February 13, 2024 to fill his vacant seat. The election for New York's 3rd district seat will take place between Tom Suozzi, a Democrat, and Mazi Melesa Pilip, a Republican. This market will resolve to "Suozzi" if Democrat Tom Suozzi wins this special election. This market will resolve to "Pilip" if Republican Mazi Melesa Pilip wins this special election. If this election does not take place by June 30, 2024, or neither candidate wins, this market will resolve 50-50. Determination of the winner of this election will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final state election authority certification or other final official determination of the election results.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for NY-3 Special Election for Santos seat: Suozzi (D) vs. Pilip (R)?
Suozzi leads at 100%, followed by Pilip at 0%. Odds reflect live trading on Polymarket.
Who is the favourite on NY-3 Special Election for Santos seat: Suo?
Suozzi, at 100% implied probability.
How does the NY-3 Special Election for Santos seat: Suozzi (D) vs. Pilip (R) market resolve?
The market resolves on 13 February 2024. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on NY-3 Special Election for Santos seat: Suo?
$643K has traded cumulatively on this market across 2 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on NY-3 Special Election for Santos seat: Suo?
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.