Market Context by Polymarket
The # of GOP seats in House of Representatives market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. 220 currently leads at 100%, ahead of 218 or Fewer at 0% and 219 at 0%, across 13 tradeable outcomes. The market resolves on 17 December 2024.
Cumulative volume on this market is $45M. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This is a market on predicting the number of seats held by the GOP in the House of Representatives after the upcoming elections.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for # of GOP seats in House of Representatives?
220 leads at 100%, followed by 218 or Fewer at 0% and 219 at 0%. Odds reflect live trading across 13 outcomes.
Who is the favourite on # of GOP seats in House of Representatives?
220, at 100% implied probability.
How does the # of GOP seats in House of Representatives market resolve?
The market resolves on 17 December 2024. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on # of GOP seats in House of Representatives?
$45M has traded cumulatively on this market across 13 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on # of GOP seats in House of Representatives?
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.