Market Context by Polymarket
The Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. No currently leads at 100%, ahead of Yes at 0%. The market resolves on 30 June 2025.
Cumulative volume on this market is $1.7M. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be the US Secretary of Defense for any period of time between March 25 and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July??
No leads at 100%, followed by Yes at 0%. Odds reflect live trading on Polymarket.
Who is the favourite on Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense b?
No, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July? market resolve?
The market resolves on 30 June 2025. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense b?
$1.7M has traded cumulatively on this market across 2 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense b?
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.