Market Context by Polymarket
The Popular vote margin of victory (0.25% ranges)? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. GOP by <1.5% currently leads at 100%, ahead of GOP by 2.25% or more at 0% and GOP by 2.0%-2.25% at 0%, across 5 tradeable outcomes. The market resolves on 31 January 2025.
Cumulative volume on this market is $15M. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This is a market on the margin of victory in the popular vote, categorized into 0.25% ranges.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Popular vote margin of victory (0.25% ranges)??
GOP by <1.5% leads at 100%, followed by GOP by 2.25% or more at 0% and GOP by 2.0%-2.25% at 0%. Odds reflect live trading across 5 outcomes.
Who is the favourite on Popular vote margin of victory (0.25% rang?
GOP by <1.5%, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Popular vote margin of victory (0.25% ranges)? market resolve?
The market resolves on 31 January 2025. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on Popular vote margin of victory (0.25% rang?
$15M has traded cumulatively on this market across 5 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on Popular vote margin of victory (0.25% rang?
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.