Market Context by Polymarket
The Presidential Election Winner 2024 market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. Donald Trump currently leads at 100%, ahead of Joe Biden at 0% and Nikki Haley at 0%, across 17 tradeable outcomes. The market resolves on 5 November 2024.
Cumulative volume on this market is $3.7B. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This is a market on predicting the winner of the 2024 presidential election.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Presidential Election Winner 2024?
Donald Trump leads at 100%, followed by Joe Biden at 0% and Nikki Haley at 0%. Odds reflect live trading across 17 outcomes.
Who is the favourite on Election 2024?
Donald Trump, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Presidential Election Winner 2024 market resolve?
The market resolves on 5 November 2024. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on Election 2024?
$3.7B has traded cumulatively on this market across 17 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on Election 2024?
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.