Market Context by Polymarket
The RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. Yes currently leads at 100%, ahead of No at 0%. The market resolves on 31 August 2024.
Cumulative volume on this market is $6.2M. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announces that he will vote for Donald Trump or formally endorses Trump for President of the United States by August 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Robert F. Kennedy Jr. or one of his representatives.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August??
Yes leads at 100%, followed by No at 0%. Odds reflect live trading on Polymarket.
Who is the favourite on RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August??
Yes, at 100% implied probability.
How does the RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August? market resolve?
The market resolves on 31 August 2024. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August??
$6.2M has traded cumulatively on this market across 2 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August??
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.