Market Context by Polymarket
The Romania: Bucharest Mayoral Election market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. Ciprian Ciucu currently leads at 100%, ahead of Person N at 100% and Person O at 100%, across 27 tradeable outcomes. The market resolves on 7 December 2025.
Cumulative volume on this market is $134M. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
Nicușor Dan, the current Mayor of Bucharest, was elected President of Romania on May 18, 2025, triggering a mayoral by-election expected within 90 days of his departure. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election to become the next elected Mayor of Bucharest. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the by-election will not be considered. If no by-election takes place by July 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Romanian Government, specifically the Permanent Electoral Authority (https://www.roaep.ro/prezentare/).
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Romania: Bucharest Mayoral Election?
Ciprian Ciucu leads at 100%, followed by Person N at 100% and Person O at 100%. Odds reflect live trading across 27 outcomes.
Who is the favourite on Romania: Bucharest Mayoral Election?
Ciprian Ciucu, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Romania: Bucharest Mayoral Election market resolve?
The market resolves on 7 December 2025. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on Romania: Bucharest Mayoral Election?
$134M has traded cumulatively on this market across 27 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on Romania: Bucharest Mayoral Election?
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.