Market Context by Polymarket

The Romania Presidential Election 1st round winner? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. George Simion currently leads at 100%, ahead of Călin Georgescu at 0% and Elena Lasconi at 0%, across 12 tradeable outcomes. The market resolves on 4 May 2025.

Cumulative volume on this market is $5.5M. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.

How this market resolves?

This is a market on predicting the winner of the first round of the Romanian elections.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds for Romania Presidential Election 1st round winner??

George Simion leads at 100%, followed by Călin Georgescu at 0% and Elena Lasconi at 0%. Odds reflect live trading across 12 outcomes.

Who is the favourite on Romania Election 1st round ??

George Simion, at 100% implied probability.

How does the Romania Presidential Election 1st round winner? market resolve?

The market resolves on 4 May 2025. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.

How much money is on Romania Election 1st round ??

$5.5M has traded cumulatively on this market across 12 outcomes.

Can I see who is betting on Romania Election 1st round ??

Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.

How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?

Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.