Market Context by Polymarket
The Starmer out before July? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. No currently leads at 100%, ahead of Yes at 0%. The market resolves on 30 June 2025.
Cumulative volume on this market is $1.4M. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between January 2 and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Starmer out before July??
No leads at 100%, followed by Yes at 0%. Odds reflect live trading on Polymarket.
Who is the favourite on Starmer out before July??
No, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Starmer out before July? market resolve?
The market resolves on 30 June 2025. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on Starmer out before July??
$1.4M has traded cumulatively on this market across 2 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on Starmer out before July??
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.