Market Context by Polymarket
The "Thunderbolts" Opening Weekend Box Office market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. $72-77m currently leads at 100%, ahead of <$67m at 0% and $67-72m at 0%, across 5 tradeable outcomes. The market resolves on 4 May 2025.
Cumulative volume on this market is $475K. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This market will resolve according to how much “Thunderbolts” (2025) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Box Office” https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Thunderbolts-(2025)#tab=summary will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 2 - May 4) are final (i.e. not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is no final data available by May 12, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for "Thunderbolts" Opening Weekend Box Office?
$72-77m leads at 100%, followed by <$67m at 0% and $67-72m at 0%. Odds reflect live trading across 5 outcomes.
Who is the favourite on "Thunderbolts" Opening Weekend Box Office?
$72-77m, at 100% implied probability.
How does the "Thunderbolts" Opening Weekend Box Office market resolve?
The market resolves on 4 May 2025. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on "Thunderbolts" Opening Weekend Box Office?
$475K has traded cumulatively on this market across 5 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on "Thunderbolts" Opening Weekend Box Office?
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Prediction markets tend to be sharper than polls when volume is healthy, because traders lose money for being wrong. Thin markets with little trading are less reliable — treat those prices as a signal, not a certainty.