Market Context by Polymarket
The Trudeau out in 2025? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. Yes currently leads at 100%, ahead of No at 0%. The market resolves on 31 December 2025.
Cumulative volume on this market is $401K. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Justin Trudeau ceases to be Prime Minister of Canada for any length of time between January 1 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Trudeau departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of Canada, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Trudeau out in 2025??
Yes leads at 100%, followed by No at 0%. Odds reflect live trading on Polymarket.
Who is the favourite on Trudeau out in 2025??
Yes, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Trudeau out in 2025? market resolve?
The market resolves on 31 December 2025. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on Trudeau out in 2025??
$401K has traded cumulatively on this market across 2 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on Trudeau out in 2025??
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.