Market Context by Polymarket
The Trump deportation executive order on Day 1? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. Yes currently leads at 100%, ahead of No at 0%. The market resolves on 20 January 2025.
Cumulative volume on this market is $380K. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump issues any executive order that aims to increase, enhance, or facilitate the deportation of illegal immigrants on January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Trumps 2017 executive orders, such as Executive Order 13768, which expanded categories for prioritized deportation, or Executive Order 13767, which strengthened border security and detention capacities related to illegal immigration are examples of Executives orders which would qualify. This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Trump deportation executive order on Day 1??
Yes leads at 100%, followed by No at 0%. Odds reflect live trading on Polymarket.
Who is the favourite on Trump deportation executive order on Day 1?
Yes, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Trump deportation executive order on Day 1? market resolve?
The market resolves on 20 January 2025. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on Trump deportation executive order on Day 1?
$380K has traded cumulatively on this market across 2 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on Trump deportation executive order on Day 1?
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.