Market Context by Polymarket

The Trump signs national abortion ban? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. No currently leads at 100%, ahead of Yes at 0%. The market resolves on 29 April 2025.

Cumulative volume on this market is $1.4M. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.

How this market resolves?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs a bill into law or performs any executive action that explicitly restricts individuals' access to abortion in the United States by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Bills which impose limitations or expand existing restrictions on when, where, or under what conditions abortions can be performed, including measures that reduce the gestational age limit for legal abortions, increase mandatory waiting periods, or limit the circumstances under which exceptions are allowed will qualify. Legislation or executive actions which add regulatory hurdles for providers, such as increased licensing requirements, facility standards, or reporting obligations will not qualify. Any bill signed into law or executive actions within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the law goes into effect. If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation or perform executive actions (e.g., he resigns or leaves office), this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, with a consensus of credible reporting used as needed.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds for Trump signs national abortion ban??

No leads at 100%, followed by Yes at 0%. Odds reflect live trading on Polymarket.

Who is the favourite on Trump signs national abortion ban??

No, at 100% implied probability.

How does the Trump signs national abortion ban? market resolve?

The market resolves on 29 April 2025. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.

How much money is on Trump signs national abortion ban??

$1.4M has traded cumulatively on this market across 2 outcomes.

Can I see who is betting on Trump signs national abortion ban??

Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.

How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?

Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.