Market Context by Polymarket
The Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. Harris by 1.5-1.9 currently leads at 100%, ahead of Trump lead at 0% and Harris by 0-0.4 at 0%, across 9 tradeable outcomes. The market resolves on 11 October 2024.
Cumulative volume on this market is $1.3M. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This is a market on the polling margin between Trump and Harris next Friday.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday? ?
Harris by 1.5-1.9 leads at 100%, followed by Trump lead at 0% and Harris by 0-0.4 at 0%. Odds reflect live trading across 9 outcomes.
Who is the favourite on Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday??
Harris by 1.5-1.9, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday? market resolve?
The market resolves on 11 October 2024. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday??
$1.3M has traded cumulatively on this market across 9 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday??
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.