Market Context by Polymarket
The Will Trump and Harris debate before election? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. Yes currently leads at 100%, ahead of No at 0%. The market resolves on 4 November 2024.
Cumulative volume on this market is $2.7M. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump debates Kamala Harris for the 2024 US presidential race by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Both in-person debates and virtual debates will count toward a "Yes" resolution for this market. If either candidate backs out of the debate or is otherwise rendered incapable of participating in it, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be footage of such a debate, however a consensus of credible sources will also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Will Trump and Harris debate before election??
Yes leads at 100%, followed by No at 0%. Odds reflect live trading on Polymarket.
Who is the favourite on Trump and Harris debate before election??
Yes, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Will Trump and Harris debate before election? market resolve?
The market resolves on 4 November 2024. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on Trump and Harris debate before election??
$2.7M has traded cumulatively on this market across 2 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on Trump and Harris debate before election??
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.