Market Context by Polymarket
The Turnout in 2024 Presidential election? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. 155-160m currently leads at 100%, ahead of <130m at 0% and 130-135m at 0%, across 11 tradeable outcomes. The market resolves on 5 November 2024.
Cumulative volume on this market is $29M. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This is a market on the total popular vote count for the U.S. Presidential Election.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Turnout in 2024 Presidential election??
155-160m leads at 100%, followed by <130m at 0% and 130-135m at 0%. Odds reflect live trading across 11 outcomes.
Who is the favourite on Turnout in 2024 election??
155-160m, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Turnout in 2024 Presidential election? market resolve?
The market resolves on 5 November 2024. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on Turnout in 2024 election??
$29M has traded cumulatively on this market across 11 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on Turnout in 2024 election??
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.