Market Context by Polymarket
The Next UK prime minister? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. Rishi Sunak currently leads at 100%, ahead of Keir Starmer at 100% and Priti Patel at 100%, across 13 tradeable outcomes. The market resolves on 4 July 2024.
Cumulative volume on this market is $2.4M. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
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Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Next UK prime minister??
Rishi Sunak leads at 100%, followed by Keir Starmer at 100% and Priti Patel at 100%. Odds reflect live trading across 13 outcomes.
Who is the favourite on Next UK prime minister??
Rishi Sunak, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Next UK prime minister? market resolve?
The market resolves on 4 July 2024. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on Next UK prime minister??
$2.4M has traded cumulatively on this market across 13 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on Next UK prime minister??
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.